Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA) Stock Forecast & Price Prediction 2025, 2030, 2040, and 2050
Get detailed Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA) stock forecast for 2025, monthly, along with long-term BABA price prediction from 2025 to 2050. Look at historical stock performance, analyst recommendations (Buy, Sell, or Hold), and the latest Alibaba Group Holding Limited headlines.
1 Month Prediction
$169.97 [32.89%]
3 Month Prediction
$180.18 [40.89%]
6 Month Prediction
$186.82 [46.07%]
1 Year Prediction
$184.19 [44.02%]
3 Year Prediction
$184.56 [44.31%]
5 Year Prediction
$193.57 [51.35%]
About Alibaba Group Holding Limited
Alibaba Group Holding Limited operates as a multinational technology company specializing in e-commerce, cloud computing, digital media, and logistics. It serves businesses and consumers through its platforms in China and internationally.
The company owns Taobao, a consumer-to-consumer marketplace where individuals and small businesses sell goods. It also operates Tmall, a business-to-consumer platform that helps brands reach Chinese shoppers. Alibaba.com serves as a global wholesale marketplace that connects suppliers with buyers worldwide.
Alibaba runs AliExpress, a cross-border retail service that allows international consumers to buy directly from Chinese sellers. Lazada and Trendyol serve Southeast Asian and European markets.
The company’s Cainiao Smart Logistics network optimizes supply chains and delivery services. It integrates smart warehouses, digital tracking, and AI-driven logistics solutions to improve efficiency.
Alibaba Cloud provides cloud computing, data analytics, and artificial intelligence solutions to businesses. It powers industries with services such as cloud storage, cybersecurity, and machine learning.
In digital media and entertainment, Alibaba owns Youku, a video streaming platform, and Alibaba Pictures, a film production and distribution company.
Alibaba was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Hangzhou, China.
Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA) Historical Performance
IPO Date
Alibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE:BABA) went public on 19 September, 2014.
Change
Since inception, BABA has increased by 49.05%. In the last 5 years, BABA has fallen from $187.82 to $127.89, a massive -31.9% decrease since 2020.
Historical Highs and Lows
In the past 5 years, the stock reached a high of $294.25 and a low of $61.40.
52 Week Range
$68.36
$129.02
The current price $127.89 is near the 52-week high, which means that the stock is overbought.
BABA Stock Price History
Based on BABA stock's historical price data, this table shows how the stock has performed in the last 6 years. Since 2019, the BABA stock has fallen from $187.82 - $294.25 to $98.84 - $127.89, which is down -34.46%. Currently, the stock follows downward trend.
Here, we have calculated stock range of BABA, indicating the highs and lows for each year, the average price based on the daily closing prices each year, and the change% from the average price.
| Year | Stock Price | Avg Price | Change% | Year Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $187.82 - $294.25 | $230.78 | 33.44 | 1 Year Change |
| 2021 | $114.72 - $245.14 | $186.03 | 7.56 | 2 Year Change |
| 2022 | $61.4 - $121.48 | $92.6 | -46.46 | 3 Year Change |
| 2023 | $72.32 - $106.43 | $85.67 | -50.47 | 4 Year Change |
| 2024 | $70.47 - $106.12 | $81.06 | -53.13 | 5 Year Change |
| 2025 | $98.84 - $127.89 | $113.36 | -34.46 | 6 Year Change |
BABA Price Performance
6-Month Performance
BABA stock jumped by 20.52% in the last six months.
1-Year Performance
The stock has trended upwards by 80.59% in the past year.
3-Year Performance
In the last 3 years, the stock has soared by 21.72%.
5-Year Performance
In the last 5 years, the stock has gone down by 31.90%.
According to Alibaba Group Holding Limited's historical data, below graph gives us the exact picture of how the BABA stock has performed year-over-year. Here, Each bar on the graph represents a particular year that illustrates how the stock's price changed from one year to the next.
YoY Performance
In the last five years, the stock has shown positive growth in 2 years and a decline in 3 years.
2020
9.73% ↑
2021
48.96% ↓
2022
25.84% ↓
2023
12.01% ↓
2024
13.27% ↑
NOTE: Green bars indicate that the stock has risen compared to the previous year, while red bars show that the stock has fallen.
Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA) Financials & Stock Analysis
Total Revenue
Quarterly Revenue: $236.50 B (Q3)
Revenue for Q3 ending 30th September, 2024 decreased 2.77% compared to Q2 ending 30th June, 2024.
Annual Revenue: $961.96 B (1Y)
Revenue for trailing 12 months increased 2.21% year over year from 31st March, 2024.
Market Capitalization
Alibaba Group Holding Limited has a market capitalization of $306.00B, which places BABA in the mega-cap category.
Fundamental Analysis
EPS: $18.72 (Q3), $31.60 (1Y)
EPS increased 85.71% since last quarter, and increased 14.16% since last year.
Net Income: $44.03 B (Q3), $80.01 B (1Y)
Net Income increased 80.54% since last quarter, and increased 9.93% since last year.
Free Cash Flow: $1.85 B (Q3), $149.66 B (1Y)
Free Cash Flow decreased 94.49% since last quarter, and decreased 9.51% since last year.
Net Profit Margin: 18.62% (Q3), 8.32% (1Y)
Net Profit Margin increased 85.68% since last quarter, and increased 7.55% since last year.
Below, we have listed 12 key indicators for Fundamental analysis for BABA stock. These indicators help you understand Alibaba Group Holding Limited's financial health, earnings and growth potential, and make a decision if the stock is a good long-term investment or not.
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Technical Analysis
Here, we have listed 5 key indicators for Technical Analysis for BABA stock. These indicators help investors study past price movements and trading volumes to forecast future price changes, and find the right time when to buy, sell or hold the stock.
| Technical Indicators | Value |
|---|---|
| SMA20 | $102.50 |
| SMA50 | $92.11 |
| SMA200 | $87.17 |
| RSI | 84.44 |
| Beta | 0.31 |
SMA20 < Current Price
This signals BABA stock is in short-term bullish momentum.
SMA50 < Current Price
This signals BABA stock is in mid-term bullish momentum.
SMA200 < Current Price
This signals BABA stock is in long-term bullish momentum.
Sentiment Based on Technical Analysis
Based on 8 technical analysis indicators, the overall sentiment for BABA stock is Bullish. Out of all indicators, 5 indicates bullish signals, 3 signals bearish trends and 1 gives neutral trends. The BABA stock forecast was last updated on 21 February, 2025.
Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA) Stock Price Prediction and Forecast
According to short-term forecast, the stock is expected to rise to $186.15 by the end of 2025, and can reach around $190.80 to $135.68 in 2026. And, the long-term forecast suggests that the stock may further jump to $143.75 - $179.62 in 2028, and $193.58 - $199.12 by 2031. So, the BABA stock shows a strong upward trend in the next several years.
Short-term BABA Stock Price Prediction & Forecast
| Date | Forecasted Price | Change% |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-03 | $169.97 | 32.9% |
| 2025-04 | $174.77 | 36.65% |
| 2025-05 | $180.19 | 40.89% |
| 2025-06 | $175.63 | 37.32% |
| 2025-07 | $184.44 | 44.21% |
| 2025-08 | $186.82 | 46.07% |
| 2025-09 | $193.25 | 51.1% |
| 2025-10 | $190.97 | 49.32% |
| 2025-11 | $183.74 | 43.66% |
| 2025-12 | $186.15 | 45.55% |
In 2025, the BABA stock price is expected to fluctuate between $169.97 and $193.25. According to the monthly forecast, the stock could rise to $186.15 by December 2024. If compared to the BABA's current price, the stock could gain 45.55% by the end of this year.
Long-term BABA Stock Price Prediction & Forecast
| Year | Year Start | Year Mid | Year End | Change% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $190.80 | $192.74 | $135.68 | 6.09% |
| 2027 | $194.61 | $156.95 | $183.42 | 43.41% |
| 2028 | $143.75 | $212.67 | $179.62 | 40.44% |
| 2029 | $174.36 | $177.22 | $182.39 | 42.61% |
| 2030 | $189.27 | $225.24 | $207.71 | 62.41% |
| 2031 | $193.58 | $179.77 | $199.12 | 55.69% |
| 2032 | $196.88 | $217.86 | $197.02 | 54.05% |
| 2033 | $202.62 | $260.72 | $234.42 | 83.29% |
| 2034 | $205.14 | $186.97 | $195.37 | 52.76% |
| 2035 | $233.62 | $246.73 | $276.54 | 116.22% |
| 2036 | $204.38 | $203.51 | $202.62 | 58.43% |
| 2037 | $164.31 | $225.34 | $196.97 | 54.01% |
| 2038 | $227.29 | $247.23 | $229.20 | 79.21% |
| 2039 | $215.97 | $203.79 | $300.90 | 135.27% |
| 2040 | $237.99 | $289.17 | $214.73 | 67.9% |
| 2041 | $204.85 | $294.66 | $200.87 | 57.06% |
| 2042 | $267.37 | $208.67 | $239.21 | 87.04% |
| 2043 | $212.76 | $281.49 | $209.08 | 63.48% |
| 2044 | $228.13 | $214.79 | $240.52 | 88.06% |
| 2045 | $249.64 | $239.76 | $237.32 | 85.56% |
| 2046 | $295.95 | $286.16 | $268.63 | 110.04% |
| 2047 | $272.21 | $233.50 | $289.85 | 126.63% |
| 2048 | $275.43 | $310.95 | $220.24 | 72.2% |
| 2049 | $294.39 | $304.52 | $306.81 | 139.89% |
| 2050 | $239.09 | $284.51 | $270.12 | 111.2% |
| 2051 | $301.16 | $293.32 | $336.13 | 162.82% |
Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA) Stock Price Prediction & Forecast 2025
At the start of 2025, the BABA stock was at $98.84. Today, it is trading at $127.89, which is 29.40% increase from price at the beginning of the year. By the end of this year, you can expect the stock to reach to $186.15 by December 2025 with a 45.55% change.
Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA) Stock Price Prediction & Forecast 2026 - 2030
In the next five years, there will be a significant appreciation in the BABA stock. During this period, the BABA's price is forecasted to shift from $190.80 to $207.71, which is 8.86% gain.
In 2026, the stock would possibly open at $190.80, escalates to $192.74 by mid-year, and wraps up at $135.68, reflecting a 6.09% increase from today's price. Further moving to 2030, the stock can kick off the year at $189.27, soar to $225.24 by mid-year, and finish at $207.71, which is 62.41% change from current price.
Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA) Stock Price Prediction & Forecast 2031 - 2040
During this period, the stock would move from $193.58 to $214.73, which is up 55.69%
In 2031, we can expect BABA to fluctuate between $193.58 and $199.12, a shift indicating a 55.69% gain by year-end compared to current price. And Until 2040, BABA can likely vary from $214.73 to $237.99. By the end of 2040, the stock could record a 67.90% rise from today's stock price.
Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA) Stock Price Prediction & Forecast 2041 - 2050
According to long-term forecast, the BABA stock can see an an upturn from $204.85 to $270.12 in this period. In 2041, the stock can experience a high of $294.66 by mid-year, closing the year at $200.87. This results in a 130.39% increase from today.
Moving towards the end of 2050, BABA is projected to open the year at $239.09. The stock may peak to $284.51 during mid-year and finish the year at $270.12. Compared to the stock's current price, this translates to an overall gain of 111.20% by 2050.
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BABA Competitors
| Ticker | Company | Market Cap | Price | 1m Change | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MELI | MercadoLibre, Inc. | - | $2109.99 | 9.77% ▲ | $84.52 ▲ |
| ETSY | Etsy, Inc. | - | $57.20 | 4.17% ▲ | $88.8 ▲ |
| AMZN | Amazon.com, Inc. | - | $228.68 | -3.79% ▼ | $82.39 ▲ |
Last updated Feb 21 at 3:36 AM
BABA : Buy, Sell Or Hold?
Analyst Ratings
Based on 41 analysts, 7 rated as a strong buy, 26 recommended a buy, 7 suggested a hold, 0 advised a sell, and 1 indicated a strong sell.Three months ago, out of 46 analysts, 7 analysts gave a strong buy rating, 32 a buy rating, 7 a hold rating, 0 advised selling, and 0 suggested a strong sell.So, according to analyst ratings, the recommendation for BABA stock is Buy.
Expert Analysis
According to BABA short-term and long-term forecast, Alibaba Group Holding Limited shares are projected to go up by 111.2%, and reach a value of $270.12 per share by 2050.
As per technical analysis, indicators show a Bullish sentiment, while Fear & Greed Index stands at 85.71428571428571, which signals Greed. Also, BABA has recorded 11/30 green days, which reflects a 55.00000000000001% positivity rate with a price volatility of 0.03%.
Plus, Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of 26.588774 suggests that BABA stock is overvalued. So, Based on BABA prediction and analysis, it may be the best time to hold BABA stock right now.
Disclaimer: Stock predictions, forecasts and price targets provided for "BABA” are solely for informational and educational purposes and should not be treated as investment or financial advice. Always conduct your own research or consider consulting with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.